Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
PLS
0 - 2
GOL
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 1
GOL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
GOL
0 - 1
SSU
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
CHI
4 - 2
GOL
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GOL
2 - 0
COS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
PIR
1 - 1
FRE
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 2
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 1
FRE
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |