Goldau vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
5 - 2
GOL
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GOL
0 - 4
ESC
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 0
GOL
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 1
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 4
BEL
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 2
ESC
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAV
6 - 1
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
SAR
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |