Goldau vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCA
4 - 1
GOL
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LSS
1 - 0
GOL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 0
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
GOL
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 4
FCM
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 2
ESC
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 2
TAV
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 1
FCM
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 0
TAV
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |