Goldau vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
10º
52
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
ZOF
40%
22%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
5 - 0
GOL
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 2
RSZ
26%
22%
51%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
GOL
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 0
FCU
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LOC
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 2
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
LOC
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
LOC
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |