Goldau vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
GOL
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 1
TAV
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 4
GOL
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 3
IBA
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 5
BEL
8%
18%
74%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
ASC
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
4 - 1
ESC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |