Goldau vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
EMM
0 - 2
GOL
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GOL
7 - 1
HOC
64%
18%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 2
GOL
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUN
1 - 1
GOL
37%
23%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 3
GOL
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 2
ESC
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 6
ASC
57%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |