Goldau vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11%
8.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 1
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 3
GOL
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
5 - 0
SAR
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 1
GOL
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
PER
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 4
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |