Gold Coast United vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 0
GOL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 0
PER
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 2
GOL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
NEW
2 - 0
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 0
WPH
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |