Gold Coast United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 3
CCM
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
GOL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
ADE
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |