Gold Coast United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CCM
3 - 0
GOL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
GOL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 1
SYD
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
GOL
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |