Gold Coast Knights vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
12º
1º
30
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
GCK
3 - 0
OLY
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
GCK
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
GCK
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 1
BRR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROC
4 - 0
GOL
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
OLY
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 3
ROC
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 3
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRR
2 - 1
ROC
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |