Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
4 - 1
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
OLY
4 - 1
GCK
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 0
GOL
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
GCK
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
QUE
7 - 0
BRI
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
QUE
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
QUE
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
QUE
8 - 0
CAP
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 1
OLY
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |