Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
12º
1º
34
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BRR
2 - 3
GCK
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 1
BRI
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
3 - 0
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 3
GCK
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
GCK
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLY
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
QUE
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 2
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BRR
1 - 2
PEN
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |