Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
48
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRR
0 - 1
GCK
7%
17%
76%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GCK
4 - 2
SUN
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GCK
3 - 1
OLY
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 2
GCK
9%
18%
74%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
6 - 3
WYN
78%
14%
9%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
7 - 0
RED
83%
11%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
GOL
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +2 |