Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
5 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 2
WUF
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 2
GCK
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GCK
4 - 2
OLY
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
QUE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
BRI
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
MOR
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 3
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 3
HEU
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |