Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
12º
1º
38
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
GCK
27%
22%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 3
GOL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 4
PER
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 0
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
3 - 1
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
OLY
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 1
LOG
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRI
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |