Gold Coast Knights vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
GCK
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GCK
5 - 1
SUN
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 1
QUE
20%
22%
57%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
4 - 1
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 4
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 0
BRR
27%
21%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
LOG
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |