Gold Coast Knights vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
BRR
0 - 3
GCK
37%
22%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 1
GCK
12%
15%
73%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -3 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
GCK
3 - 3
BRI
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 5
GCK
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GCK
0 - 1
QUE
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 4
BRI
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 1
LOG
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 2
SUN
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOG
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 1
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |