Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
24
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 1
GCK
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GCK
2 - 0
ROC
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
GCK
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 2
GCK
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
GCK
9 - 0
WYN
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
WYN
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
BRR
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
RED
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
BRR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |