Goiás EC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
GOI
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 3
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
GOI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |