Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-2
Goiás EC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
GOI
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
GOI
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 0
GOI
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |