Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Goiás EC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 1
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
GOI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
GOI
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
PPE
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |