Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-2
Goiás EC vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
GOI
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
APA
1 - 4
GOI
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
GOI
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 1
GOI
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
GOI
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |