Copa Verde Final
Global 4-1
Goiás EC vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
GOI
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAY
0 - 2
GOI
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 0
PAY
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 0
CAM
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
MAN
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAY
0 - 2
GOI
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
PAY
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |