Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-2
Goiás EC vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 4
GOI
12%
17%
71%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 1
GOI
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 3
GOI
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
GOI
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 1
ANA
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 1
XVD
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
4 - 1
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 3
GOI
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 2
PAU
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |