Conmebol Sudamericana Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Goiás EC vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
GOI
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 1
GOI
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
GOI
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATM
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |