Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-1
Goiás EC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 2
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
GOI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 0
VAS
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |