Goiás EC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
GOI
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 2
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
PPE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 2
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
DUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |