Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-1
Goiás EC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
GOI
47%
28%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
GOI
3 - 2
ATM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 0
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 1
GOI
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
CRZ
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SPO
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 2
SCI
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 2
CRZ
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |