Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Goiás EC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
GOI
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 1
GOI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
PEÑ
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 1
EME
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
EME
2 - 1
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 2
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |