Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 5-3
Goiás EC vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
5 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 3
GOI
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
GOI
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
BOT
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |