Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-3
Goiás EC vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 1
MOR
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
4 - 2
ITU
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 0
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
USC
0 - 2
AMF
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 1
AMF
72%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOA
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |