Goiânia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
INH
2 - 2
GOI
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
79%
17%
4%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOI
3 - 0
CAC
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AEE
0 - 1
GOI
21%
21%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
17%
24%
60%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
VOL
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |