Goianésia vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
GOI
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |