Goianésia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 1
GOI
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 2
GOI
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
CRA
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
APA
2 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
ATL
14%
18%
68%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |