Goianésia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
GOI
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
GOI
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 1
GOI
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
APA
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
APA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APA
0 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
APA
5 - 4
CRA
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |