GOES vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
GOE
1 - 3
GVV
21%
24%
56%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VVO
2 - 1
GOE
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GOE
0 - 1
BEN
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SVG
1 - 0
GOE
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GOE
2 - 2
SPA
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZWA
7 - 5
RIJ
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GVV
2 - 1
ZWA
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ZWA
8 - 0
NSC
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KLO
3 - 2
ZWA
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |