GOES vs Cambuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
77.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
GOE
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 4
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ODI
5 - 1
GOE
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GOE
2 - 2
ONS
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SIL
2 - 3
GOE
26%
22%
53%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 1
BVO
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
BVO
5 - 1
FCO
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MVV
0 - 0
BVO
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
BVO
4 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
VOL
0 - 4
BVO
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |