GOES vs Rijnvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
14º
18º
14º
27
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 66 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 55 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 25 |
17º
|
76.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 0
GOE
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GOE
1 - 1
UNA
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VVS
4 - 2
GOE
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GOE
2 - 5
KOZ
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
2 - 2
GOE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rijnvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
MEE
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOE
4 - 0
RIJ
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RIJ
2 - 2
GEM
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
RIJ
22%
21%
57%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
RKV
1 - 4
RIJ
5%
9%
87%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |