Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
GAE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
GAE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
ZWO
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
DWS
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |