Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
0 - 1
GAE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
ELI
1 - 2
GAE
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
GAE
4 - 0
SIT
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 0
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
GAE
3 - 0
MVV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
TEL
3 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
PSV
4 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 1
SIT
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |