Go Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
16º
7º
26
7º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
82% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 3
GAE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GAE
5 - 0
NEC
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TWE
3 - 2
GAE
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GAE
3 - 0
ALM
60%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |