Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
GRO
1 - 3
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
GAE
2 - 3
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FEY
2 - 1
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
GAE
0 - 2
TEL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GAE
5 - 0
VVD
60%
19%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 3
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 3
PSV
40%
24%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 2
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 2
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |