Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 1
GAE
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GAE
3 - 3
TWE
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
GAE
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
GAE
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 0
VVV
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |