Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
PSV
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
RJC
2 - 3
GAE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 3
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
GAE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 2
PSV
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
AZA
2 - 2
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 4
AZA
15%
22%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |