Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
ADO
5 - 1
GAE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 1
AMS
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 2
AZA
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
AZA
5 - 1
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 1
AZA
79%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
AZA
3 - 0
RJC
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |