Kakkonen Final
Global 1-1
Gnistan vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 0
GNI
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GNI
4 - 1
KUL
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 2
GNI
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
8 - 1
GNI
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | -4 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GNI
2 - 2
FUT
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 0
GNI
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
MUS
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
8 - 0
VIR
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 0
ACK
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STC
3 - 5
MUS
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |