Gnistan vs MPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GNI
2 - 1
MIK
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 0
GNI
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
KUL
0 - 1
GNI
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GNI
2 - 0
SUD
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
GNI
1 - 2
LAH
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MPS
1 - 0
LAH
15%
17%
67%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MIK
1 - 0
MPS
90%
8%
3%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
KAP
5 - 0
MPS
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MPS
3 - 3
FCV
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
KUL
3 - 0
MPS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |