Gnistan vs MPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 3
GNI
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GNI
2 - 0
GRI
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MIK
4 - 1
GNI
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GNI
0 - 3
FUT
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 5
GNI
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
MPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
KOO
1 - 0
MPS
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
MPS
1 - 1
MIK
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
MPS
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MPS
3 - 1
SUD
34%
23%
42%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
KLU
7 - 2
MPS
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |