Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
JAP
0 - 1
GNI
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
4 - 0
GNI
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GNI
3 - 2
MIK
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FUT
1 - 4
GNI
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GNI
1 - 3
FCK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HAK
0 - 2
IFK
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
IFK
1 - 1
KUO
39%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HJK
3 - 1
IFK
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
IFK
4 - 1
JJK
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TPS
3 - 0
IFK
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |